ABLETT is a lock, Viney is a steal and here's hoping for a bit of Majak. Resident SuperCoach tragic Al Paton picks his line-up for 2013.
I held out as long as I could, but after SuperCoach Gold subscribers gained access to the advance team picker a couple of weeks ago, it was only a matter of time.
So while other family members were enjoying their Christmas bounty, I clicked on the SuperCoach website and compiled the first of what will be many incarnations of the line-up for the 2013 edition of my team Don't Argue.
See the full line-up below and leave your comments
Proving that I'm a sucker for punishment (I am a Richmond fan, after all), the team is built around the three players who gave me the most pain in 2012 - and who at various stages I vowed to never select again.
Greg Broughton was supposed to be a premium defender who could run in the midfield, but for some reason Freo coach Ross Lyon chose to play him in the forward pocket. Early in the season he was out of my team and on the "never again" list. But now he's at a new club (Gold Coast), where he should play a much-more SuperCoach-friendly role, he's cheaper and he now has dual-position status. Welcome back, Greg - no hard feelings.
I picked Bryce Gibbs last year in the expectation he would lift his game to a new level playing as a midfielder. Instead, he floated across half-back for most of the year, only showing signs of life after I finally bit the bullet and traded him out of my team (averaging 118 over the last five rounds). He also has a new coach for 2013 and Mick Malthouse has a habit of getting the best out of players. The fact he can be picked as a defender again is also a big plus.
The third change of heart is potentially the bargain of 2013, but he's also a very big risk - and I'm still not committed to picking him. When he plays in the midfield, Brisbane's Tom Rockliff is a rolled-gold SuperCoach star, which he proved by averaging 123 over the first five rounds of 2012. That was when (a) I traded him into my team and (b) Michael Voss decided he could be better used deep in the forward line. He went on to average about 75 for the rest of the season.
The positive from that personal disaster is that Rockliff can be picked as a forward in 2013 - and he's priced well below his potential output. If he plays in the middle. But that's still a big "if". I'll be watching his pre-season very closely.
The first-picked player in my squad was Gary Ablett, despite his huge $740,500 price tag. Anyone who hopes to have any success in SuperCoach will have to have Gaz in their side and while some will wait for his price to drop, I can't see it coming down much and don't want to use up a trade when I can have him from Round 1 - and get the extra points he brings every week.
New Richmond captain Trent Cotchin shows every sign of being the next Ablett so he's a lock in my side as well, along with Blue Marc Murphy who is pretty reasonably priced for a guy who can pump out regular 120-plus scores.
The fourth midfield spot goes to a guy entering his third or fourth season who is ready to explode - think Patrick Dangerfield in 2012. My pick (right now) is young Eagle Andrew Gaff.
The new team layout includes two extra midfield spots and opens the door for some mid-priced bargains. Luke Ball missed most of 2012 and could be the Lenny Hayes of next season. Andrew Embley is another player hugely under-priced after an injury-ravaged season. While his age (31) is a worry I have a feeling the Eagles will win plenty of games next season.
Another player returning from injury is Lions ruckman Matthew Leuenberger, who scored 100 and 103 in the first two rounds of 2012 then broke down in Round 3. He will be a very popular pick, along with All-Australian ruckman Nic Naitanui who can switch between the ruck and forward line.
I've picked Majak Daw as my back-up ruckman in the hope he'll get some game time after being elevated to the senior list, while the fourth ruck spot is a player who should never be called on - so I picked a guy who is cheap and can swing forward to provide added flexibility. And I like his name. Liam McBean, welcome aboard.
The other huge bargains are Gold Coast defender Nathan Bock (providing his knee recovers in time for Round 1, the signs are positive so far) and forgotten Magpie Brent Macaffer, who is cheaper than many first-year draftees.
Cat Travis Varcoe should be excellent value if he gets his body right, while young midfielders Jack Viney, Jaeger O'Meara and Brad Crouch should be on everyone's pre-season watch list.
And I'm giving Dustin Martin another shot. He disappointed plenty of SuperCoaches (myself included) in 2012, but pumped out plenty of big first halves only to fade after the break. Hopefully he's working on his stamina.
Or maybe that's just be the Tiger bias creeping out.
Here's my full 30-man squad - with the huge proviso that nothing is set in stone until Friday March 22.
Share your thoughts below or send me a Tweet at @al_superfooty.
DON'T ARGUE 2013 LINE-UP (version 1)
DEFENDERS
Brendon Goddard (Ess, def/mid) $541, 500
Bryce Gibbs (Carl, def/mid) $509,800
Jack Grimes (Melb) $472,400
Greg Broughton (GC) $441,900
Nathan Bock (GC) $297,400
Brett Goodes (WB, def/mid) $128,200
Dylan Van Unen (Ess) $109,500
Dean Terlich (Melb) $109,500
MIDFIELDERS
Gary Ablett (GC) $740,500
Trent Cotchin (Rich) $622,100
Marc Murphy (Carl) $602,900
Andrew Gaff (WC) $483,500
Luke Ball (Coll) $301,800
Andrew Embley (WC) $283,600
Brad Crouch (Adel) $115,900
Jauger O'Meara (GC) $115,900
Jack VIney (Melb) $109,500
Sam Dwyer (Coll, mid/fwd) $96,200
RUCKS
Nic Naitanui (WC, ruck/fwd) $611,100
Matthew Leuenberger (BL) $301,100
Majak Daw (NM) $115,900
Liam McBean (Rich, ruck/fwd) $109,500
FORWARDS
Lance Franklin (Haw) $618,000
Tom Rockliff (BL) $520,500
Dale Thomas (Coll) $515,800
Dustin Martin (Rich) $473,500
Travis Varcoe (Geel) $268,900
Brent Macaffer (Coll) $128,000
Tim Membrey (Syd) $109,500
Sam Rowe (Carl, fwd/ruck) $115,900
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